Notes: Relationship status to own Swedish locals, second-generation Polish migrants, and you may Gloss stayers aged 18–39, and first-generation at migration (1970–1979 and you can 1980–1992 cohorts). SN = Swedish residents (760,471), G2 = second-age bracket Polish immigrants (6,345), PS = Shine stayers (3,914), and G1 = first-age bracket Polish immigrants (11,062). Data: Swedish check in investigation and you can Gloss GGS
A comparable research is completed with regards to educational attainment (look for Fig. 2), in which age refers to many years at the migration towards basic-generation immigrants. As mentioned, the education guidance to possess freshly turned up migrants can be a bit challenging; and this, the new comparison anywhere between Shine stayers while the first-generation might be interpreted having caution. This new contour implies that brand new proportions of female having lower and you may high education is large one of the primary age bracket (within migration) as compared to stayers in identical age range. This indicates there is in addition to an option with the migration centered toward education. Like with the newest marital standing delivery, the brand new Swedish neighbors as well as the next age bracket are almost the same for the terms of educational attainment, especially in the newest elderly a long time.
Training because of the age group and migration status. Notes: Degree shipment having Swedish neighbors, second-age bracket Gloss migrants, and you may Gloss stayers aged 18–39, as well as earliest-age bracket Shine migrants during the migration (1970–1979 and 1980–1992 cohorts). SN = Swedish neighbors (755,255), G2 = second-age group Gloss immigrants (6,254), PS = Gloss stayers (step three,914) and you can G1 = first-age group Polish immigrants (7,849). Data: Swedish sign in research and you can Gloss GGS
Change so you’re able to very first beginning
Shape 3 shows the fresh new Kaplan-Meier survival contours to your change in order to very first delivery, showing differences between new communities. Gloss stayers and the basic-age group migrants have their very first kid earlier than one other organizations perform. Swedish residents enjoys its earliest guy later on than those two teams, however, sooner than the following age group. The express of women estimated to keep childless including varies; a lot more specifically, it is lower one of the primary-age bracket migrants at only six%, with Polish stayers (10%) as well as the Swedish neighbors (15%). The communities differ mathematically away from both.
The next age bracket feel the high share projected to remain childless, during the 22%
First-beginning Kaplan-Meier success shape of the chronilogical age of girl and migrant group. Notes: G1 = first-age bracket Polish migrants, G2 = second-generation Shine migrants. Data: Swedish check in study and you may Polish GGS
So you can more thoroughly evaluate new transition so you’re able to earliest delivery, standard perils is opposed. So you can control for those types of selectivity from migrants considering seen services, i realize a great 
stepwise approach (Dining table 2). Along these lines, we have been also capable of seeing if these characteristics improve the model. From inside the Model 1, only the integration ranging from standard and migrant classification is included; we discover a top hazard proportion towards the first-generation and you will brand new stayers from the more youthful ages compared to Swedish natives and you will the second age group, once the a couple latter groups likewise peak in the earlier decades. Incorporating an excellent cohort variable when you look at the Design 2 have a very short feeling. When marital condition is also as part of the model (Design step three), we see significant variations for all organizations compared to source group (first-generation migrants old 20–24). The fresh new introduction away from marital position contributes to an increased increase for the young Gloss stayers, suggesting you to definitely relationships is important for the changeover to motherhood for the Poland. It top ranging from many years 20 and you can twenty-four, following the issues speed gradually decrease. The first generation top within many years 20–twenty four, much like the Polish stayers albeit from the lower height, but check faster influenced by relationship standing. Into Swedish natives therefore the next age bracket too, having a wedding try regarding the a higher threat of is a good mother or father. It inform you a cycle over time similar to that of the first group peaking at the age twenty five–30, and the next on ages 29–34, having limited differences in its baselines.